Will a country admit to having lost control of one or more nuclear weapons ? | Manifold

Will a country admit to having lost control of one or more nuclear weapons ?

Basic

1

Ṁ15

2027

43%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Weapon goes missing, is stolen, or is otherwise misplaced.

Resolves YES if it happens, else resolves NO at market close

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Also, ever? How does a "no" bet win?

@NiklasBergstrom if it has not happened before market close, NO wins

Updated description to make that explicit

You mean, in the future, after the market creation? If not, this is already happened

@CyfralCoot yes in the future, after market creation

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