Will a country admit to having lost control of one or more nuclear weapons ? | Manifold

Will a country admit to having lost control of one or more nuclear weapons ?

Basic

1

Ṁ15

2027

43%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Weapon goes missing, is stolen, or is otherwise misplaced.

Resolves YES if it happens, else resolves NO at market close

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Also, ever? How does a "no" bet win?

@NiklasBergstrom if it has not happened before market close, NO wins

Updated description to make that explicit

You mean, in the future, after the market creation? If not, this is already happened

@CyfralCoot yes in the future, after market creation

Related questions

Now that they have acknowledged having nuclear weapons will Israel be forced to admit IAEA inspectors into the country?

Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?

Will a new nation possess nuclear weapons by 2025?

If entire humanity were to trust a single nation for total control of all nukes, who would win such a global poll?

Will any country use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

What will be the next country to come into possession of a nuclear weapon?

What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in a military conflict?

Will any country that has not previously detonated a nuclear weapon detonate one by the end of 2024?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

Related questions

Now that they have acknowledged having nuclear weapons will Israel be forced to admit IAEA inspectors into the country?

What will be the next country to come into possession of a nuclear weapon?

Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?

What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?

Will a new nation possess nuclear weapons by 2025?

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in a military conflict?

If entire humanity were to trust a single nation for total control of all nukes, who would win such a global poll?

Will any country that has not previously detonated a nuclear weapon detonate one by the end of 2024?

Will any country use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules