Will a country admit to having lost control of one or more nuclear weapons ?
Basic
2
Ṁ40
2027
34%
chance

Weapon goes missing, is stolen, or is otherwise misplaced.

Resolves YES if it happens, else resolves NO at market close

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Also, ever? How does a "no" bet win?

@NiklasBergstrom if it has not happened before market close, NO wins

Updated description to make that explicit

You mean, in the future, after the market creation? If not, this is already happened

@CyfralCoot yes in the future, after market creation

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules