X abounds with rumours of a super-injunction taken out by or for Keir Starmer relating to some unknown unwanted behaviour.

This question will resolve yes if any of the following occurs before 1st January 2025:

• A UK judge refuses to continue any super-injunction that is reported to directly (in my judgement) relate to Sir Keir Starmer.

• Any UK MP uses parliamentary privilege to reveal the existence of a super-injunction that relates directly (in my judgement) to Sir Keir Starmer.

• Anyone is held in contempt of court for breaching a super-injunction that relates directly (in my judgement) to Sir Keir Starmer.

• A story about Sir Keir Starmer is widely published outside the UK in major international media outlets, but not covered in the national press, to the degree that it is unreasonable (in my judgement) that such a story would be published unless a super-injunction is in place.

• Sir Keir Starmer admits that there is a super-injunction in place. This would require either a direct statement from Starmer / Number 10. I would accept a tweeted statement if it was also to be published on the BBC News website.

As resolution is heavily dependent on my judgement I will not bet on this market.