
Which of these model providers will sign the EU AI Act Codes of Practice?
Which of these model providers will sign the EU AI Act Codes of Practice?
6
150Ṁ153Jun 1
80%
Aleph Alpha
80%
Mistral
68%
Anthropic
66%
Microsoft
63%
Google
59%
Apple
59%
IBM
41%
Adobe
41%
Cohere
41%
OpenAI
37%
Amazon
37%
HuggingFace
37%
Midjourney
20%
Conjecture
12%
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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