MANIFOLD
Conditional on an AI company violating the EU AI Code of Practice, will the EU levy fines against that company?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
2028
78%
chance

Violations made during the grace period don't count (grace period ends August 2027).

Violations will be determined by if either the EU states a company has violated the code, or someone sufficiently credible says they did (SaferAI?).

Resolves YES if the EU then begins fining the AI company with any amount.

Resolves NO if an AI company violates the practice and no fines are levied.

This market only applies to the first violator of the Code after the grace period ends.

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