Will Tropical Storm Cindy become a hurricane?
8
234
170
resolved Jun 26
Resolved
NO
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predicted NO

NHC advisories about Cindy have been a little confusing. It dissipated yesterday, and they then claimed it was going to be their last advisory about it. It now seems they are not ruling out that Cindy, after degenerating into a wave, could regenerate into a storm further north in the Atlantic. The chances are very low, but I now feel bad about resolving early. I sincerely thought a NHC statement that the storm had dissipated meant it could not become a hurricane or, if it did, it would be a different system.

I don't think the market can be reopened, but I'd be happy to have someone change the resolution if Cindy does become a hurricane. I'm very sorry about the confusion.

predicted NO

@NicoDelon Here's the latest NHC discussion as of yesterday evening: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/260234.shtml?

Satellite imagery this evening shows that the low-cloud swirl associated with Cindy has again become void of deep convection. In addition, imagery animation and scatterometer data indicates that the system no longer has a closed circulation. Thus, the cyclone has degenerated to a tropical wave or trough and this will be the last advisory. The initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on the scatterometer data and satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB, and it is anticipated that the maximum winds will drop below tropical-storm force during the next several hours. The initial motion is 315/12. The remnants of Cindy should continue a general northwestward motion for the next couple of days, and then turn northward on the eastern side of a deep-layer baroclinic trough over the eastern United States and the western Atlantic. In the short term, there is little chance of any regeneration due to continued southwesterly vertical shear. However, after 48 h or so, the shear should diminish, and there is a chance that Cindy could regenerate after that time near or north of Bermuda. However, the model support for this has decreased over the last 24 h, and currently there is not enough confidence in regeneration to explicitly show it in the forecast. This is the last advisory on Cindy by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

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