Will Israel’s Civil Liberties Index for 2024 be higher than for 2023?
Basic
6
Ṁ131Jan 29
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the Civil Liberties Index for Israel for 2024 is strictly greater than 5.6.
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/civil-liberties-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=~ISR
Resolves NO if the Index is equal to 5.6 or less.
The close date will be extended until the data becomes available. Resolves N/A if the data is not available by the end of 2025.
Since the resolution criterion does not leave room for interpretation, I may trade in this market if I find it mispriced.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on Gaza being controlled by Hamas, will Palestine's Civil Liberties Index in 2024 be higher than 2022?
37% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
67% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
25% chance
Will Israel's economy shrink in 2024?
29% chance
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2024?
86% chance
Will the US fall in the Freedom Index in 2024?
60% chance
Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?
20% chance
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2024 (according to gallop)?
31% chance
In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?
33% chance
Will Birthright to Israel be entirely free at the end of 2024?
77% chance