![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FR0QRa-H5_9.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D3c82d578-d525-4b3d-8dac-988a974b04ec&w=3840&q=75)
Will Israel’s Civil Liberties Index for 2023 be higher than for 2022?
Mini
9
Ṁ1.1kresolved Feb 29
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the Civil Liberties Index for Israel for 2023 is strictly greater than 5.9 according to this page:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/civil-liberties-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=~ISR
Resolves NO if the Index is 5.9 or less.
The close date will be extended until the data becomes available. Resolves N/A if the data is not available by the end of 2024.
Since the resolution criterion does not leave room for interpretation, I may trade in this market if I find it mispriced.
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ102 | |
2 | Ṁ12 | |
3 | Ṁ12 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
5.59 in the 2023 report: https://www.eiu.com/n/campaigns/democracy-index-2023/
But unclear if/when ourworldindata will update.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel’s Civil Liberties Index for 2024 be higher than for 2023?
17% chance
Conditional on Gaza being controlled by Hamas, will Palestine's Civil Liberties Index in 2024 be higher than 2022?
37% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
67% chance
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2024?
84% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
21% chance
In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?
33% chance
Will Israel's economy shrink in 2024?
31% chance
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2024 (according to gallop)?
32% chance
Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030?
90% chance
Will the US fall in the Freedom Index in 2024?
63% chance