Conditional on at least dating 1 year before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years? | Manifold

Conditional on at least dating 1 year before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?

4

110Ṁ83

resolved Jul 13

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

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Scoping out the success chances of a marriage based on duration of courtship. Part of a series. See also 6 months and 2 year questions.

"After 5 years" from the date of marriage. I.e., will they still be together on their 5th wedding anniversary.

Resolves "N/A" if Austin and Rachel do not get married or get married before having dated 1 year.

If they date at least 6 months and then get married, only the highest applicable duration will stay active. For example, if they date 13 months and get married the "at least 1 year" question will remain active, and the 6 month and 2 year questions will both resolve N/A.

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predictedYES

This was a conditional market, and the condition didn't occur so marked n/a.

predictedYES

Hey @Austin you guys dated for >6 mo, but < 1 yr before getting hitched (congrats by the way!) so this one should be N/A, correct?

Does being engaged count as part of the courtship? If not, this is certain to resolve N/A

@Conflux Yes, from first date to wedding date.

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Conditional on at least dating 6 months before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?

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Related questions

Conditional on at least dating 6 months before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?

Will my marriage with @RachelWeinberg last 5 years?

Will a marriage last > 5 years if the husband is showing consistent interest in another woman prior to the ceremony?

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

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