This market resolves to YES if at least one person (activist, crew member, or other participant) is killed or suffers life-threatening injuries during the Gaza Sumud Flotilla mission before November 15, 2025. This includes casualties from any cause directly related to the mission, including but not limited to: military interception, drone attacks, accidents at sea, or other incidents involving the flotilla vessels.

The Global Sumud Flotilla is a coordinated maritime mission of approximately 50-70 ships carrying activists and humanitarian aid attempting to break Israel's naval blockade of Gaza. The flotilla includes vessels departing from Spain, Italy, Tunisia, and other Mediterranean ports, with participants from 44 countries.

Resolution will be based on credible news reports from major international news organizations (Al Jazeera, Reuters, AP, etc.) or official statements from the flotilla organizers or relevant governments.

Context: Previous flotilla attempts have resulted in casualties, most notably the 2010 Gaza Freedom Flotilla raid on the Mavi Marmara, which resulted in 10 deaths. In 2025, there have already been several attempts to break the blockade, with vessels being intercepted or attacked, including the Conscience being struck by drones in May 2025.

Resolution sources: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/, https://globalsumudflotilla.org/, https://www.reuters.com/