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MANIFOLD
World's first quadrillionaire before EOY 2040
11
Ṁ100Ṁ418
2040
19%
chance
18

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First millionaire: John Jacob Astor in 1820s

First billionaire: Rockefellor, 1920s

First trillionaire: Musk, 2026

Carrying this logic i'd expect a quadrillionaire around 2120. But personally I'd expect it to take a bit longer to hit that mark, being a trillionaire is already disproportionately huge compared to being a millionaire in the 1820s.