Who will be the first trillionaire? | Manifold

Who will be the first trillionaire?

96

3.7kṀ16k

Jan 1

46%

Elon Musk

33%

Other

6%

Larry Ellison

4%

Jeff Bezos

3%

Sam Altman

3%

Bernard Arnault

1%

Michael Saylor

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

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Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

You should give a list of resolution sources, since including sovereign wealth, stock market fluctuations, property self-valuations etc. make this very chaotic.

Are we discounting heads of state/inherited wealth?

Interesting discussion (2021!)
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/11/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sam-altman.html

What will you do if there's no trillionaire by 2026?

Do I misunderstand the question? It seems obvious that it's unlikely to be any of the named ones, right?

@manyu why? there's long been speculation that Bezos would become the first trillionaire

I assume we are talking US dollar?

@TeryakiBois yes

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