Who will be the first trillionaire? | Manifold

Who will be the first trillionaire?

109

Ṁ3.7kṀ26k

2027

89%

Elon Musk

4%

Other

3%

Michael Dell

1.6%

Larry Ellison

1.4%

Jeff Bezos

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

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When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?

Will there be a trillionaire (USD) by EOY 2029?

In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?

Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?

Will there be a trillionaire this decade?

Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?

Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?

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bought Ṁ400 YES

@Royf214 can you extend this market?

@HillaryClinton just extended

Putin owns all the Russian resources, that are more than 5trln usd

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

You should give a list of resolution sources, since including sovereign wealth, stock market fluctuations, property self-valuations etc. make this very chaotic.

Are we discounting heads of state/inherited wealth?

Interesting discussion (2021!)
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/11/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sam-altman.html

What will you do if there's no trillionaire by 2026?

Do I misunderstand the question? It seems obvious that it's unlikely to be any of the named ones, right?

@manyu why? there's long been speculation that Bezos would become the first trillionaire

I assume we are talking US dollar?

@TeryakiBois yes

People are also trading

When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?

Will there be a trillionaire (USD) by EOY 2029?

In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?

Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?

Will there be a trillionaire this decade?

Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?

Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?

Related questions

When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?

Will there be a trillionaire (USD) by EOY 2029?

In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?

Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?

Will there be a trillionaire this decade?

Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?

Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?