Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will be the first trillionaire?
115
Ṁ3.7kṀ43k
resolved Jul 10
100%99.0%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Jeff Bezos
0.0%
Bernard Arnault
0.0%
Jensen Huang
0.0%
Larry Page
0.0%
Sergey Brin
0.0%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Larry Ellison
0.0%
Steve Ballmer
0.0%
William Ding
0.0%
Michael Saylor
0.0%
Mohammed bin Salman
0.0%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
Michael Dell
0.0%
0.8%Other

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ919
2Ṁ709
3Ṁ580
4Ṁ453
5Ṁ390
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,250 YES

@mods can we resolve? Author is afk

bought Ṁ400 YES

@Royf214 can you extend this market?

@HillaryClinton just extended

Putin owns all the Russian resources, that are more than 5trln usd

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

You should give a list of resolution sources, since including sovereign wealth, stock market fluctuations, property self-valuations etc. make this very chaotic.

Are we discounting heads of state/inherited wealth?

What will you do if there's no trillionaire by 2026?

Do I misunderstand the question? It seems obvious that it's unlikely to be any of the named ones, right?

@manyu why? there's long been speculation that Bezos would become the first trillionaire

I assume we are talking US dollar?