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MANIFOLD
How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?
5
Ṁ250Ṁ553
2027
20 Representatives
expected
83%
0 - 19
12%
20 - 39
0.9%
40 - 59
0.9%
60 - 79
0.7%
80 - 99
0.7%
100 - 149
0.8%
150 - 199
0.7%
200 - 299
0.7%
300 - 400

  • Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only Representatives who are actively seeking renomination will count toward the total. Representatives who retire, resign, or choose not to run for re-election will not be counted as losses.

  • Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Renomination specifically refers to losing in the primary election, not the general election.

US Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
Elections
Democratic Party
U.S. Congress
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Key word: renomination. This is losing in the primary

bought Ṁ10 YES

Note: It only counts for those actively seeking renomination

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