Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
14
Ṁ1.1kṀ4.8kJul 1
88%
John Swinney
0.3%
Kate Forbes
5%
Anas Sarwar
0.5%
Douglas Ross
0.1%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
0.1%
Angus Robertson
1.2%
Malcolm Offord
5%
Note there is a Scottish Parliament election scheduled for 7 May 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which party will place second in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election (votes)?
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
35% chance
Who will be First Minister of Scotland at some point in their life?
In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?
Who will win the Scottish Premier League 2025/26?
Who will succeed John Swinney as First Minister of Scotland?
Following the 2026 Senedd election, which party will the First Minister of Wales be from?
UK has new prime minister in 2026?
55% chance
Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2027?
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?