Who will win the 2022 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics?
12
2.4kṀ776
resolved Oct 10
67%19%
Someone not mentioned in any answer at close time
33%0.5%
Bernanke
1.7%Other
3%
Daron Acemoglu
3%
Susan Athey
3%
Andrei Shleifer
2%
Rabin
3%
Saez
0.8%
Levin
1.6%
Finkelstein
2%
Chetty
1.2%
Gentzkow
1.8%
Kreps
1.8%
Hausman
6%
Claudia Goldin
4%
Larry Katz
3%
Richard Blundell
2%
Aghion
0.9%
Tabellini
1.5%
Laibson

Sep 13, 11:52am: This market was created before it was possible to bid on "None", and so it has a different catch-all answer, "Someone not mentioned in any answer at close time". This answer has already been bought, so I will resolve it in place of "None".

Oct 8, 10:02am: People keep buying it so I’ll put it in the description: the only allowed catch-all option is “Someone not mentioned in any answer at close time". I won’t select “Not Prakes”. His name’s Pakes anyway.

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Congratulations to Ben S. Bernanke, Douglas W. Diamond, and Philip H. Dybvig.

@NcyRocks I just like trying my best to create significant social drama using Manifold. Does this count ;)

@ConnorMcCormick I won't select this answer as correct. This question is about who will win, not who won't. Hopefully Manifold will make it easier to short particular answers in the future, but until then your only option is to buy shares of every other candidate or the catch-all "Someone not mentioned in any answer at close time".

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