Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?
10
170Ṁ6102030
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ergodicity economics is everything stemming from idea in origininal paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-019-0732-0
That is idea that real life violations of expected utiliy theory do sometimes reflect non-ergodicity of wealth dynamics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ergodicity_economics
I will bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?
50% chance
Will Nobel Prizes be awarded in 2060?
70% chance
Will an Estonian or a Czech win a Nobel prize between 2025 and 2030?
16% chance
Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
6% chance
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
50% chance
Will ANYONE from the Ed boyden lab win nobel prize by EOY 2033
37% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
10% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
42% chance
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
20% chance