Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?
8
116
170
2030
38%
chance

Ergodicity economics is everything stemming from idea in origininal paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-019-0732-0

That is idea that real life violations of expected utiliy theory do sometimes reflect non-ergodicity of wealth dynamics.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ergodicity_economics


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The word you are looking for is ergodicity, not erogdicity

predicts YES

@gigab0nus Sure thanks! That signals I am bad at statistics and one without any preferences on question should probably bet NO then :D

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