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MANIFOLD
will anyone from elasticity.institute win nobel prize in economics by EOY2040?
45%
chance

Current Members

Lukas Althoff

Lukas Althoff

Stanford University

Tom Cunningham

Tom Cunningham

METR

Basil Halperin

Basil Halperin

University of Virginia

Brian Jabarian

Brian Jabarian

Carnegie Mellon University

Andrew Koh

Andrew Koh

Columbia University

Arjun Ramani

Arjun Ramani

MIT

Phil Trammell

Phil Trammell

Stanford DEL and Epoch AI

Parker Whitfill

Parker Whitfill

METR

Cheryl Wu

Cheryl Wu

Yale University

Market context
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