If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?

Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?

Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?

Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?

Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?

Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics

Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?

Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?