Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? (OLD MECHANISM) | Manifold

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? (OLD MECHANISM)

Basic

16

Ṁ407

Jun 23

7%Other

6%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

18%

Hodge conjecture

48%

Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness

5%

P versus NP problem

11%

Riemann hypothesis

5%

Yang–Mills existence and mass gap

As judged by the Clay Math Institute.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Millennium Prize Problems

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I've decided to close this market, since it uses Manifold's old market mechanism. It'll still resolve as normal. Let me know if you want me to reopen it.

If you want to trade on this question, see this new market with fixed payouts:

Navier Stokes
Birch Swinnerton-Dyer
Hodge
Yang-mills
Riemann
P vs NP

that is the order I think it will go

I made a multiple-choice version of this question now that we have that market type available:

"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?"

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Terence Tao gave an interesting talk on an approach to Navier-Stokes a few years ago which made me think this was somewhat tractable.

Related questions

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?

Related questions

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules