This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 1, 2035, there is a broad consensus among defense analysts and military doctrines indicating that individual human soldiers primarily armed with rifles are largely obsolete for conventional frontline combat roles due to the capabilities and widespread integration of autonomous or remotely operated drone systems.

Conversely, the market will resolve to "No" if, by January 1, 2035, expert opinion and military doctrines generally maintain that rifle-armed human soldiers remain a foundational and indispensable element of conventional frontline ground forces, meaning drones have not predominantly taken over their roles.