WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?
Plus
147
Ṁ42kJan 2
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1000 combat deaths between two parties subject to common political jurisdiction at the start, with at least 5% of the deaths on each side.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
On the arrests metric, the Guardian is reporting 250 this weekend
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/05/first-edition-far-right-violence-uk
bought Ṁ5 YES at 7%
Related questions
Related questions
Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024
11% chance
Will there be a civil war in Israel before 2025?
4% chance
Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
7% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
64% chance
What will happen to the UK before 2050?
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?
35% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
52% chance