Will GiveWell say that Dispensers for Safe Water are less than 6.5x as effective as GiveDirectly before 2024?
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5.6kṀ32kresolved Jan 7
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The spirit of this question is if, before 2024, @SpacedOutMatt's criticism will be judged roughly correct. le will GiveWell reduce some kind of median number for long term effectiveness average from 7.4x to below 6.5x, before the end of next year? If ambiguous I will decide or just resolve ambiguous.
https://twitter.com/spacedoutmatt/status/1588223097945133057?s=46&t=Qh69DMp0w-avlgMInAHYQA
(GiveWell has a number of cost effectiveness numbers for each intervention ie it might be different for Kenya than anohter country. This isn't about that it is about Matt's specific criticism)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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