Why was PredictIt shut down?
11
520Ṁ757resolved Jul 31
70%53%
Kalshi lobbying
30%26%
Unknown
7%Other
2%
@tnim__ lawsuit
12%
Violating the no-action letter, as outlined in letter 22-08 https://www.cftc.gov/csl/22-08/download
For what reason or reasons was PredictIt shut down?
All of those which have clear evidence for them at resolution time will resolve positively. I will consider clear evidence to be my own 90% certainty or a statement from the CFTC or an admission of guilt from PreditIt.
I may consider other kinds of statements from PredictIt, but these seem open to bias.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ312 | |
| 2 | Ṁ23 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If PredictIt has to shut down, will they let traders get their money out?
94% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through 2025?
87% chance
Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
25% chance
Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
63% chance
Will predictionbook.com still exist on 2030?
52% chance