
Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
13
Ṁ1kṀ3202027
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
24% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2029?
84% chance
Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?
95% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
48% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
28% chance
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
86% chance
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
1% chance
Major AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic will stop investing in MCP in 2026
74% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
35% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2028?
75% chance