Ukraine warcasting megamarket
Premium
177
Ṁ78kJan 1
98.2%
Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
96%
Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
95%
Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?
59%
Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
46%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
35%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
28%
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
20%
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
16%
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
16%
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
16%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
14%
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
11%
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
11%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
7%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends
Opinion market: Russia or Ukraine
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
51% chance
Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
23% chance
Who will win the Russia-Ukraine War?
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
58% chance
when will the Ukraine war stop?
2027
Which season will the Ukraine war end?
Ukraine stock
Ṁ364
Zelenskyy stock
Ṁ318