In Jan 2027, it will be standard practise for non-AI-building tech companies to finetune and train their own models
6
130Ṁ65
2027
56%
chance

As opposed to buying them and just adding prompts

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Wouldn't this be at least partially dependent on their market cap? I can imagine a scenario where, for example, most fintech companies are happy to spend x% of their revenue / turnover a year on AI model build and tuning but startups might not have the capital

People are also trading

Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
26% chance
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
21% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
15% chance
AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?
36% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
11% chance
Which kind of computers will be the standard for AI models in 2034?
Will an AI model use more than 1e28 FLOPS in training before 2026?
8% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will a model costing >$30M be intentionally trained to be more mechanistically interpretable by end of 2027? (see desc)
60% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
31% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy