Which kind of computers will be the standard for AI models in 2034?
17
Ṁ1kṀ3752035
70%
Classical computers (CPUs, GPUs, TPUs etc.)
3%
Quantum computers
2%
Neuromorphic computers
7%
Optical computers
16%
Hybrid system (combining various different technologies)
1.8%
Something else
We define standard based on the Adoption Rate: The computing paradigm used by a majority of AI research and commercial applications.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2026?
18% chance
Old PCs become more valuable due to AI before 2035?
35% chance
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
27% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?
91% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
11% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
By what date will all state-of-the-art general-purpose AI systems not be reasoning models?
Will different hardware be used for training and for inference of neural-networks? (before 2030)
90% chance
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?