Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2023?
Jan 1, 2023
Sorry, for the remake, I wrote it poorly yesterday.
I don't have the liquid cash to spend on this cuz I'm a bad trader, but I'm a fairly okay predictor on metaculus (ahh, the failings of prediction markets vs just prediction tracking, hiding that I am okay at figuring out what predictions to parrot but terrible at getting there first and prone to large bad trades.) but I think this is 90% probability by voting day 2024.