Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2023?
3%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$3,042 bet
Sorry, for the remake, I wrote it poorly yesterday.
L

L bought M$20 of YES20 days ago

I don't have the liquid cash to spend on this cuz I'm a bad trader, but I'm a fairly okay predictor on metaculus (ahh, the failings of prediction markets vs just prediction tracking, hiding that I am okay at figuring out what predictions to parrot but terrible at getting there first and prone to large bad trades.) but I think this is 90% probability by voting day 2024.
noumena

Rachel Shu bought M$10 of YES23 days ago

Hedge. 100% of my proceeds will go directly to LGBTQ charities if this market resolves yes.