Will I wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Plus
17
Ṁ5822030
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If humanity (including or excluding me) is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.
If humanity is not around but I am then this market resolves to YES.
If humanity is not around and I am not around, but someone or something who can resolve this market is, then this market resolves to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
13% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
7% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
19% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2700?
53% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2600?
45% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?
36% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2800?
45% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2150?
12% chance