ARCathon is a competition intended to expand the current boundaries on the performance of algorithms on the "Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus" (ARC), a set of tasks involving learning and applying novel transformation rules to a grid of symbols.

According to the official competition site, humans generally achieve a success rate of around 80% on these tasks, while the best-performing algorithm has only solved around 30% of them. The competition's aim is to reward any team who can develop an algorithm capable of solving 42% or more of these tasks.

This market will resolve to YES if the competition's final standings (intended to be posted on the official site on December 22, 2023) list any entrant with a success rate of 42% or better, and NO if the best entrant is lower than 42%.