When will ULA launch their Vulcan rocket for the first time? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
8
280Ṁ2401resolved Jan 8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.5%
Jan 2024
0.2%
Feb 2024
0.2%
March or later 2024
0.1%
Not in 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ101 | |
| 2 | Ṁ28 | |
| 3 | Ṁ28 | |
| 4 | Ṁ26 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will Rocket Lab launch Neutron in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
12% chance
How many times will Vulcan-Centaur launch in 2025?
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will ULA's Vulcan rocket launch more often than SpaceX's Starship in 2025?
1% chance
How many times will ULA launch in 2025?
When will Sierra Space launch Dream Chaser? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?