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MANIFOLD
How many vetoes will Trump have issued during his second term?
4
Ṁ225Ṁ278
2029
9 vetoes
expected
41%
>2
30%
>4
16%
>9
4%
>14
2%
>24
2%
>49
2%
>74
2%
>100

Before the midterms he has issued 2 vetoes. This will include pocket vetoes. If there are more than 100 bills vetoed I will resolve this market to 100. Determined ultimately by records like the Senate Vetoes reference and congress.gov.

The last president to use more than 100 vetoes was Ronald Reagan. During Trumps first term he issued 10 vetoes, one of which was overridden. All of those were regular return vetoes.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

@Mrdudeguy The options are mutually exclusive. This is very confusing since each option is just > x, not between x and y.

sold Ṁ50 NO

Please be aware I made a few adjustments (Of course, before anyone bought any shares) To make this market actually functional