Will any AI compute cluster/platform based on the sea be bombarded or otherwise destroyed on purpose before 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ1702030
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I would assume that such an attempt to bypass the regulations should be met with an appropriate response...
To be more specific, let's define "destroyed" as not being able to restart operations within a week.
I think it would make sense to exclude any state military owned platforms if there would be any.
Destroyed platform has to be outside of jurisdicion of the state actor who executes the attack (also excluding their allies etc.)
https://www.delcomplex.com/blue-sea-frontier
(It doesn't have to be the solution of this particular company, could be something similar.)
I will not bet on this market to avoid possible conflicts of interest in the resolution.
Edit: If such a platform is placed in/on the ocean, it will also count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
32% chance
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
34% chance
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
44% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
35% chance
Will there be an airstrike on a datacenter before 2035?
34% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
80% chance
Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?
51% chance
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
29% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029?
29% chance
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
25% chance