Will there ever be another failed Falcon booster landing?
Will there ever be another failed Falcon booster landing?
29
1kṀ9448
resolved Aug 28
Resolved
YES

SpaceX is the only company so far who have propulsively landed an orbital rocket booster. So far they've landed 194 of them in 205 attempts, with most failures happening at the start. They've had a success streak of 120 launches. It seems like they've figured it all out — on the other hand, they keep pushing the limits with hotter reentries and shorter suicide burns. Will they maintain their streak?

This market resolves Yes if a Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy attempts to land one of its boosters, but fails. Resolves No if Falcons are retired without this happening.

Falcon heavy center cores and side cores both count, besides normal Falcon 9 boosters.

A failure of the booster at any point after stage separation counts, for example if it fails due to a faulty boostback burn or reentry burn.

If a failure happens before stage separation, it does not count for this market.

If SpaceX intentionally expends a booster or blows it up for test purposes, it does not count for this market.

See also:

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-3ac98b0cb008

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-fd67f96710f5

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-062170c6b2a1

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bought Ṁ250 YES9mo

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predictedNO 1y

Today a Falcon booster fell over on its drone ship on the way back after landing. For clarity, imo this doesn't count. While it's a recovery failure, it's not a landing failure.

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