Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times. The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship. Will they launch at least 500 times before retiring the Falcon 9?

This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions. It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times. This market does not count Falcon 1.

Failed launches count as long as they fail after liftoff.

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-3ac98b0cb008

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-fd67f96710f5

/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-062170c6b2a1

/Mqrius/will-there-ever-be-another-failed-f