When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?

Question

This market resolves to the year when the last launch of a rocket from the SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy family of vehicles will occur. This market will be resolved by an official statement from SpaceX announcing the final launch (on their website, twitter analogue, etc.). Obviously this may happen well after a future launch vehicle such as Starship has entered service / has superseded the Falcon family.

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.2717014133716246 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Aug 26, 2026).