How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
25
1kṀ11kresolved Dec 29
100%99.0%
130–139
0.1%
<120
0.2%
120–129
0.5%
140–149
0.1%
150–159
0.1%
≥160
Counts Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship launches equally. Only full orbit or earth escape trajectory counts, with perigee >150km or apogee >1000km.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ978 | |
| 2 | Ṁ346 | |
| 3 | Ṁ177 | |
| 4 | Ṁ113 | |
| 5 | Ṁ56 |
People are also trading
Related questions
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 120 Successful Launches In 2025?
96% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 100 Successful Launches In 2025?
99% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 150 Successful Launches In 2025?
83% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2025?
91% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will SpaceX perform fewer launches in 2025 than 2024?
4% chance
Will Falcon 9 family of rockets launch to orbit (successfully) more times in 2025 than in 2024?
95% chance