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MANIFOLD
How much USD trading volume will Polymarket generate in July? $111M in June.
11
Ṁ2kṀ22k
resolved Jul 22
100%98%
Over $200M
0.4%
Under $100M
0.9%
Between $100M and $149.9M
1.1%
Between $150M and $199.9M

Polymarket had a yuge June, with over $111M in trading volume, driven largely off of trading in election markets.
https://deepnewz.com/economics/polymarket-surpasses-100m-june-trading-volume-driven-u-s-election-predictions

According to Richard Chen's Dune dashboard, the crypto betting site generated $111M in handle, after $63M in May.
https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket

What will happen in July? Will the market come down to earth, generating less than $100M in volume. Or will the site continue to grow as the presidential elections heat up?

So far there is already over $3.3M wagered on July 1st, according to Richard's dashboard.

Which is what we will use for resolution. Like above which you can follow live.

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Polymarket printed $200M+ volume with a week to spare.

https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket

Resolving early.

bought Ṁ7,000 YES

Sorry for not creating a higher category than "200M+"

It's basically done.

$193M already in July and there's more than a week left. Well done Polymarket!

https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket

bought Ṁ77 YES

$136M so far in July -- we are a little more than halfway done

Three days into July, Polymarket did $24M in volume, off a big day July 3rd on Joe Biden markets.

I would expect this pace of wagering to slow down, though perhaps not if more news keeps coming out. Not to mention if Joe Biden is indeed replaced.

Added more liquidity. Let's get some bets -- far from efficient.

Daily volume has spiked as high as $10M per day -- from same Dune dashboard

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