If Polymarket launches in the US, what will be the sports betting volume as a percentage of total questions?
2
1kṀ6092027
75.4 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
Below 30%
5%
30 - 39%
6%
40 - 49%
8%
50 - 59%
9%
60 - 69%
16%
70 - 79%
22%
80 - 89%
17%
90 - 95%
14%
Above 95%
Kalshi, based in the US, does mostly sports betting. Polymarket, not in the US, has had a lower percentage of that. To what extent does the local regulatory climate and demand shape what questions are available? If it doesn't launch in the US by the end of 2027, I may extend, but if it's clear they're not going to, I will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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