Will we finally pull ourselves together and avoid being wiped out by AI?

100Ṁ216

2026

36%

chance

ALL

Primary criteria: some kind of moratorium/pause on AI development through international cooperation. Any other effective method also accepted

Technology

OpenAI

Technical AI Timelines

AI Impacts

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will humanity wipe out AI?

10% chance

If AI does not wipe us out by 2033, will there be continued progress in the AI sector?

79% chance

Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?

4% chance

Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?

6% chance

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

7% chance

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

7% chance

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

12% chance

Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

5% chance

Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?

6% chance

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

Sort by:

This market doesn’t make any sense

title is very misleading vs. content, content is very ambiguous, especially 'Any other effective method also accepted'

bought Ṁ5 YES

Can this market ever resolve NO? If you are alive then humanity hasn't been wiped out

@brubsby criteria mentioned in description

@Mjd how does this resolve if no such measures are taken yet we aren't wiped out?

What is the criteria for this?

@EliH added

People are also trading

Will humanity wipe out AI?

10% chance

If AI does not wipe us out by 2033, will there be continued progress in the AI sector?

79% chance

Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?

4% chance

Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?

6% chance

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

7% chance

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

7% chance

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

12% chance

Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

5% chance

Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?

6% chance

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

15% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions