Who will win the Manifold Lottery?
71
18kแน€990k
resolved Jan 18
37%17%
19%17%
8%2%
5%0.3%
1%2%
1%0.2%
0.1%

Each share(YES or NO) on a non-Other answer is a ticket to win. People get 20% more tickets for shares on answers with their username.

PRIZE TABLE
Prize Tier    | N | Amount | Resolve %
GRAND PRIZE ๐Ÿฅ‡| 1 | M1000  | 26%
Whales      ๐Ÿ‹| 3 | M250   | 8% each = 24% total
Dolphins    ๐Ÿฌ| 5 | M100   | 5% each = 25% total
Minnows     ๐ŸŸ| 25| M10    | 1% each = 25% total

For each prize type, I will choose N random traders weighted by their number of tickets at closing, and managram them a prize.

Each answer resolves by summing the number of prizes won by that answer's user according to the "Resolve %". So if a user wins 2 ๐ŸŸ and a ๐Ÿฌ, their answer would resolve 7%.

Sampled with replacement, so you can win multiple prizes.

If there is text or other usernames in an answer, only the first username gets the bonus and is chosen for resolution. It should be edited to just that username.

Answers tagged "[INVALID ANSWER]" will never resolve and any shares on them are ineligible as tickets. If this market reaches the 100 answer limit, no spillover market will be created.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€78,281
2แน€3,813
3แน€1,734
4แน€231
5แน€122
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