
How many traders will this market get?
349
4.2kṀ380kresolved Aug 2
81%77%
377
19%17%
233
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.0%
1
0.0%
2
0.0%
3
0.0%
5
0.0%
8
0.0%
13
0.0%
21
0.0%
34
0.1%
55
0.1%
89
0.3%
144
3%
610
0.8%
987
0.4%
1597
0.6%Other
For each breakpoint above 8, each time the market reaches a new Fibonacci number of traders its close time will be extended by 1 month(starting from end of December). I will add new Fibonacci numbers to the options as necessary.
Resolves to the linear interpolation between nearest bounding answers, or 100% to an option if it is exact. If the market has exactly 1 trader, resolves 50% to both.
Example: There are 100 traders. Then this market resolves to (100 - 89) / (144 - 89) = 20% 144 and 80% 89.
Current breakpoint: 233 traders -> closes at end of July
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ3,429 | |
2 | Ṁ3,228 | |
3 | Ṁ3,039 | |
4 | Ṁ1,811 | |
5 | Ṁ1,477 |