đ For which X will this market get X^2 traders after X weeks?
Basic
19
áš5711resolved Aug 8
100%99.0%
4 ⤠X < 5 (16-24 traders)
0.0%
1 ⤠X < 2 (1-3 traders)
0.0%
2 ⤠X < 3 (4-8 traders)
0.0%
3 ⤠X < 4 (9-15 traders)
0.6%
5 ⤠X < 6 (25-35 traders)
0.3%Other
I will adjust the market closing date for each new trader. For instance, with 8 traders, the market will close after sqrt(8)*7 days = 19.8 days in total.
When I'm not online, the market may sometimes close prematurely. I will reopen it as soon as I'm online again.
Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000and
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