For which N will this market get N^2 traders after N months?

Basic

Ṁ2347

resolved Oct 23

100%70%

3.5 ≤ N < 4.5 (12.25 ≤ N^2 < 20.25)

0.1%

N < 1.5 (N^2 < 2.25)

0.1%

1.5 ≤ N < 2.5 (2.25 ≤ N^2 < 6.25)

0.1%

2.5 ≤ N < 3.5 (6.25 ≤ N^2 < 12.25)

12%

4.5 ≤ N < 5.5 (20.25 ≤ N^2 < 30.25)

17%Other

I will adjust the market closing date for each new trader. For instance, with 6 traders, the market will close after sqrt(6)*30.5 days = 74.7 days in total.

Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

7 Comments

16 Holders

235 Trades

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reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 16. I won't be online at the new closing time, so the market may close prematurely or take longer to resolve.

Seems like I may have made some trading mistakes…

sold Ṁ2 YES

Closing time has been updated for trader number 15.

reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 14.

Thanks for the liquidity, @JoshuaB!

reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 13.

Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx

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