For which N will this market get N^2 traders after N months?
16
200Ṁ2347resolved Oct 23
100%70%
3.5 ≤ N < 4.5 (12.25 ≤ N^2 < 20.25)
0.1%
N < 1.5 (N^2 < 2.25)
0.1%
1.5 ≤ N < 2.5 (2.25 ≤ N^2 < 6.25)
0.1%
2.5 ≤ N < 3.5 (6.25 ≤ N^2 < 12.25)
12%
4.5 ≤ N < 5.5 (20.25 ≤ N^2 < 30.25)
17%Other
I will adjust the market closing date for each new trader. For instance, with 6 traders, the market will close after sqrt(6)*30.5 days = 74.7 days in total.
Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx
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Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx
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