[Experimental]: @Mira's Guessing Game #2
16
1.1kṀ744
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES
Mira is younger than 90
Resolved
YES
Mira doesn’t have aids
Resolved
YES
Mira is a atheist or agnostic
Resolved
YES
Mira prefers the indoors over the outdoors
Resolved
YES
Mira has a favourite flavour of chips
Resolved
YES
Mira is amused by the acquaintance-tier / fun-facts guesses, but finds the psychology-of-Mira level guesses much more alluring.
Resolved
YES
Mira thinks, therefore they are
Resolved
YES
Mira’s desire for psuedonymity is stronger than desire to attend Manifold community events such as Manifest.
Resolved
50%
Mira is a poet
Resolved
50%
Mira will resolve this particular guess as NO or N/A
Resolved
50%
Mira likes to have a cup of tea in the morning
Resolved
NO
Mira's #1 favorite anime is Gabriel Dropout
Resolved
NO
Mira learned linear algebra from Axler
Resolved
NO
Mira takes their coffee with cream but no sugar
Resolved
NO
Mira's favourite chip flavour is salt and vinegar
Resolved
NO
Mira currently owns at least one cat
Resolved
NO
Mira would describe herself as goofy
Resolved
NO
Mira gets annoyed when people use tautologies in normal conversation like "it is what it is" and "you gotta do what you gotta do"
Resolved
NO
Manifold is not the internet community where Mira spends the most time, weekly, on average

Followup to /Mira/experimental-miras-guessing-game which hit the 100 option limit.

Here's how this works:

  • Anyone can submit a free response option in the form of a guess that they have about @Mira . It can be about anything - guesses about my music taste, my research interests, my sleep habits, etc.

  • Try to guess something that's not already known about me.

  • I can resolve options N/A if I don't want to answer them.

  • Otherwise, I'll resolve to YES if the guess was right, NO if the guess was wrong, and PROB if it was partly right and partly wrong.

  • Between the option being submitted and me actually seeing and resolving it, you (and other traders) can spend mana to try to make a profit. If you're confident in a guess, buy YES - if you think someone has it wrong, buy NO. For obvious reasons, I won't bet on the options before resolving then. I'll check once per day(after loans refresh) so there's time to bet on the options.

  • This continues indefinitely, because the market doesn't close when I resolve an individual option.

Have at it!

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Wow that was fast

Resolution please

Mira will resolve this particular guess as NO or N/A

N/A is more of a "cancel the question" than an actual resolution, so drop that from the OR and we're left with a NO i.e. a NOT negating a statement.

NOT(True) reduces to False

NOT(False) reduces to True

infinite loop so I can't resolve to either...

NOT({ True: 50%, False: 50%}) reduces to { False: 50%, True: 50% }, which is consistent.

So this option resolves to 50%.

Mira's #1 favorite anime is Gabriel Dropout

I haven't actually watched it... I have some Discord friends in a Satania-themed server and wanted to fit in.

Mira likes to have a cup of tea in the morning

I like tea, but I don't actually do this.

Mira takes their coffee with cream but no sugar

Usually just plain coffee.

Mira learned linear algebra from Axler

Professor wrote their own textbook, and it was 10% definitions and 90% exercises and class was mainly to help you out if you got stuck.

Manifold is not the internet community where Mira spends the most time, weekly, on average

This might change pretty soon though.

Mira currently owns at least one cat

My roommate has a rabbit.

The best tautology, that no one tends to use in conversation very much, is the best tautology, that no one tends to use in conversation very much.

@MattCWilson That's not actually a tautology though

@Shelvacu It is what it is.

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