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MANIFOLD
Will @mira make a comeback?...
14
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5k
Nov 8
78%
chance

I will consider it a comeback if by market close, her balance is higher than it is in the picture.

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Here's a clarification of the market's criteria :

Balance in picture greater than balance at the moment of market close, resolves NO.

Balance in the picture smaller than balance at the moment of market close, resolves YES.

Also, I just added the unranked tag because this is more of a fun market.

opened a Ṁ2 NO at 93% order

@Velaris It is currently still ranked. The correct tag is: https://manifold.markets/topic/nonpredictive (https://manifold.markets/topic/unranked does not make the market unranked).

@4fa did it work now? I don't think so, but I can't figure out how to unrank it

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 94% order

@Velaris Still ranked on my end. I think unranking need @mods.

@4fa done

@Velaris Could you clarify the resolution criteria in the description?
Her balance was higher than in the picture before market close, yet the market did not resolve YES. Then you said in a comment "this was basically a market on whether she'd log in" and she did log in, yet the market still has not resolved YES. What are the criteria?

@4fa sorry for the confusion, what I mean by the criteria is that if, when the market closes, her balance is higher than in the picture, then, it resolves YES.

@4fa I definitely phrased it clumsily.

bought Ṁ622 YES

@Velaris resolves yes, her balance increased by 10

@JasonMendoza2008 by market close? This market is still open for a while.

@Velaris well by market close means before market close right? or do you mean on market close?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@JasonMendoza2008 ohh, I saw it as if it's higher when the market closes since her balance goes up by small amounts all the time

@JasonMendoza2008 if you want, I'll resolve n/a, if you really want, I can resolve yes but it seems kinda silly.

@Velaris if it goes up by small amount all the times and never goes down it would resolve yes right? I don't see how this would ever resolve no except if she logged in and spent it all

sold Ṁ10 NO

@JasonMendoza2008 this was basically a market on whether she'd log in

@Velaris oh I see, well it's ok; no need to n/a I knew i was taking a risk by betting on it

@JasonMendoza2008 it's basically a sure bet anyway, as thanks I refunded what you paid Mira. Thanks

bought Ṁ25 YES

@Velaris She logged in and bet. While her balance is currently down, her net worth is up, which seems like an even better indicator.

@4fa network?? Wtf

@JasonMendoza2008 I'm sure you've heard of autocorrect, right?