This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by June 30, 2027.

YES if by June 30, 2027:

• MOC-21 captured or surrendered

• Bhamo Airport under KIA control

• No organized junta battalion resistance in city

• KIA administering civilian affairs

NO if:

• Bhamo remains contested or under junta control on June 30, 2027

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. The Irrawaddy (irrawaddy.com)

2. Myanmar Now (myanmar-now.org)

3. DVB English (english.dvb.no)

4. KIA official statements (Colonel Naw Bu)

5. Myanmar Peace Monitor (mmpeacemonitor.org)

6. ISP-Myanmar conflict analysis (ispmyanmar.com)