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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of phosphate rock on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
Dec 31
89%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering phosphate rock under HS 251010 or 251020. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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