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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of fluorspar on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
Dec 31
87%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering fluorspar under HS 252921 or 252922, covering the catalog's four calcium fluoride and arsenic grade combinations. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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