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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of ammonium sulfate on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
Dec 31
20%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary ammonium sulfate fertilizer, HS 310221. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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